What are the odds of getting El Patron's Sword?

[Crestshot]

Well, let's see.....at this point we have, what, 20-30 known lost swords out there? Maybe? And there's how many people on POTCO? Even if there's people that are no longer playing, they're still registered with it. So, if we go on DXD, we can get an estimate about how many people there are registered with the game, not counting people who have joined since DXD was last updated. So, a rough estimate is about....900,000 pirates (Based off of DXD Directory). 20-30 (or more) of those have gotten the sword. Now, if we can narrow that down to the pirates who are in the 50's, which we know there's at least 1065 of, those pirates have a greater advantage because they are able to take down the big enemies that will give away the lost sword. So, if every single level 50 were to have the chance to get the sword (and I'm just counting all level 50s because I have no idea how many 45-49s are out there, and we know that they have a higher advantage as well), we have a chance of 1 in about....845 pirates to get one. And there's my math for the day. Have fun

[MacIronhawk]

I think we're forgetting that the 20-30 people that got the sword are the ones that can post they got it.

The majority of players in POTCO don't have a POF account, and it's impossible to know how many people actually have the sword.

I'd actually guess 2000 by now, but that's just a guess. (and from all the people on abassa showing off their sword)